M's 11, Blue Jays 1
Felix' UQS clock hits 16 … on its way to 56

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Felix

BSR sez,

....

So has Felix finally hit the Pedro/RJ level at this point, where you just don't expect the opponent to have a chance to get more than a couple runs on the board unless he has a really bad day? It feels that way to me.  

....

It does feel that way, and I was kinda wondering why, when Mike Blowers put his finger on it.  The whole time, Felix has taken 4 pitches per game out the mound.  That has been true of each outing in 2014, except the little "flu" period.

If you just joined us, a human being takes his fastball out to the mound, and then spends the 1st inning figuring out what is his #2 pitch that day.  That was the way with K-Pax the other day; he didn't have that much of a curve, but he did have a feel for his changeup.

Felix happens to get behind 2-0, bam, there is a slider on the low-outside corner to a RH.   A dangerous lefty comes up, bam, there is a 12-6 curve to put him ahead in the count.

Blowers' idea is precisely correct in SSI's view.  Felix has refined his skills over the years, while somehow not losing his stuff.  It's quite unusual.  

....

It's hard enough to find a pitcher who pitches 7 innings for 10 starts in a row, much less doing it with 0-2 earnies every time.

What you haven't heard yet, but soon will on TV ;- ) is that Felix' season has gone like this:

Time IP and ER Remark
Opening Day 6 IP Everybody's getting loose the 1st week
Next 4 starts Ultra Quality Starts  
April 26 - May 2 4 consecutive non-UQS Flu
Last 16 starts 16 consecutive UQS Previous record:  13 (includes Deadball era)

In other words, take away the flu, and Felix has thrown a lockdown UQS in EVERY start this season. 

I wouldn't put it past him to throw a lockdown in every start the rest of the way, either, "doubling" the previous record.  It may only be the bounce of the ball that keeps him from doing so.

Anyway, he's got a great shot at a 1+ ERA this year.  Albeit using a different mode -- fewer K, more grounders -- Felix has indeed now reached Pedro / Unit level.

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Robinson Cano

It was an intense playoff atmosphere at Safeco; Blowers went so far as to say that was the most fun he'd ever had broadcasting a game (!).  Five awesome things Cano did in this one game:

  • Rembrandt-pretty, unhurried baserunner kill at 3B (Rasmus, 2nd inning, after leadoff double)
  • Calm, unhurried catch of a dangerous high pop down the RF line (Valencia, 5th inning)
  • Walked to score the first run
  • Home run the other way to extend the lead from 2-1 to 3-1 and launch the bat-around inning
  • Continued to slowly, gently convince his fellow M's that Safeco Field is --- > not the devil
  • This doesn't even mention 3-4 other great things he did in the game

Stars & Scrubs, baby.

Had you noticed that the M's, this homestand, have evened their home record at .500 and, more importantly, snuffed* the question of whether the park will mentally implode them?

......

By the way, Cano is starting to load up on pitches more.  If you didn't see the game, he missed a 2nd homer by a foot or two.  This one into the left-center power alley.

His OBP is now over .400 (! in Safeco) and his OPS+ is equal to what it was in 2012 and 2013.  Hard to believe this man plays second base.

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The Royals

Mojician with yet another chuckle-inducing Shout, right before the Royals beat the Orcs 3-2 on Monday:

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The Royals, who lead WC2, start a four game set with Oakland. This is a perverse situation where one might be tempted to root for the Orcs. Don't do it! Winning isn't everything and you will have to live with yourself at the end of the season. 

...

The Royals have won +8 in a row and are +11 -1 over the last two weeks.  I don't expect that they will continue to play .917 baseball.  And though the Tigers have momentarily blipped underneath them, it's hard to see them losing the division.  Maybe if Sanchez AND Verlander were out the rest of the way, which they're probably not, but ... nah.

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You've noticed that the Royals are configured the way the M's are ... with a 114 ERA+ and a 90 OPS+.  However, the Royals are only +26 in run differential, compared to the Mariners' +84.   That's a legion of boom's worth of difference, in NFC West terms.

Go up and down the roster and check it out ... in essence, the Royals are what the Mariners would be, if the Mariners lost Felix Hernandez and Robinson Cano.  Or the Mariners are the Royals, plus Felix and Cano.  Which sounds better?

BABVA,

Dr D

 

Blog: 

Comments

1

On one single play--the throw to third to nail Rasmus.
It was high risk, and showed incredible confidence in his abilities. But it also showed the same confidence in Seager. If someone 'less worthy' were over there, I doubt he takes the gamble.
But with that throw, he said to everyone else on the team: "It's OK. We're good. We're really good. So good we can make this kind of play, in the middle of a pennant race...when it might mean leaving two guys on base with nobody out."
I loved that.

2
bsr's picture

Have the M's ever had a star player with the leadership and personality qualities of Mr. 240? Not Griffey, Edgar (quiet example), ARod (ha), RJ (pitchers don't count...and anyway no). You can just see the whole team kind of orbits around him. Plus as evidenced by many player quotes, he actively helps the other guys with tactical advice at the plate. A lot of stars don't do that sort of thing.
Just think about the example it sets when the $240M guy is in his first year of an uber mega deal, not hitting HR the way he always has, and yet is completely calm and satisfied hitting the pitches he gets for singles and winning a batting title* instead. I mean, can Ackley really continue to be greedy for HR when Robinson Cano is not?
Absolutely worth far more than $24M this year. We can worry about year 10 when we're done hanging the WS banners :)

3

Likes the personality even better, and she thought Junior was great ... 
Cano is hitting .333/.402/.476 now for a 150 (!) OPS+.  If Matty and I are right, that Safeco is tougher than the adjustments, then his real level of hitting is even higher than 150.   From middle infield?!
He's 9/11 in stolen bases also :- )
 

4

I agree with you Diderot.  
The self-possessiveness, right at the intersection of the train tracks of the game and the series opener, it was gasp-inducingly poised.  
People use the term "sends a message" a lot ...
:: cpoints :: amigo

5

His WAR is coming around as he settles into Safeco and starts loading up on the ball more.  What a savvy dude.  Cano's up to 4.8 WAR now, third behind Mike Trout and Alex Gordon (who is KC's version of Dustin Ackley ... ).
M's Stars & Scrubs have produced thusly, about 70% of the way into the season:
Felix = $34 M
Cano = $27 M
Seager = $24 M
You can pro-rate that if you feel the urge :- ) but ... the series opener with Toronto, they played like every blinkin' inch of it.

6

Tough to watch last nights game and not envision what it would be like if the M's could get Cano and Felix into the playoffs.

7

Zunino, Cano, Jackson, and I'm going to throw both Taylor and Miller in there as well. Jack has done a fantastic job constructing this team. And there is talent galore on the farm.

8

and that will probably increase as long as the games are relevant. At the current rate it will increase by 255,069 for the season. The bandwagon is picking up some folks looking for some winners.

9

Felix is a pure ace. Kuma is nearly one. Rodney has a pedigree.
But how in the love of all that's holy did EVERYONE on this pitching staff turn out so well?
I can't believe it's just good luck. But where does the credit go?
Is it better advance scouting? The pitching coach? Zunino's pitch calling?
I'm guessing maybe the latter the most...but unlike framing, I don't know of any way to measure it.
But what we're watching is historic...and INCREDIBLE fun!

10

Per ESPN (Baseball Reference), Iwakuma has 3.0 WAR YTD; half of Felix's YTD WAR of 6.0. That makes Iwakuma worth ~$17M YTD, with the same consistency / save the bullpen goodness that Felix has provided. Iwakuma is just nails every outing.

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