I think?
Encouraging, I think?
Way to play it close to the vest, Doc!! :)
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At great risk to life and limb, super-NPB-poster IcebreakerX found us Lee's splits for last season:
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vs | AVG | PA | AB | H | 2B | HR | K | BB |
LHP | .400 | 83 | 70 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 |
RHP | .264 | 501 | 440 | 116 | 27 | 24 | 98 | 50 |
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Which you could call encouraging, I think. :- )
Just fo yo in-fo, the slugging percentage comes out to .757 vs lefties and .488 vs righties. The overall slash vs LHPs was .400/.494/.757. What does that remind us of ... hmmmm ... oh yeah. That was the year the States entered The Big One, and Teddy Ballgame's slash line was .401/.553/.735. Just musin'.
It's true that 83 plate appearances aren't a bunch, but three things. One: --- > different stats "stabilize" at different points. It takes only 60 at-bats for strikeout rate to stabilize. Here's a Baseball Prospectus article showing that many offensive stats require only 0.2 seasons' worth of data before you can basically tell. Above, compare the EYE ratios. Those aren't accidental, obviously.
Two: We're not working in a vacuum here. We didn't start with the above stats; we expected Lee to hit lefties well before we did the trial runs. If we're shooting dice in a back alley and I point at Charley's dice, "Those dice throw 12's!" and my first two rolls are 12's, Charley can kiss his keister goodbye. No third roll needed.
Three: We're not asking Lee to slug .757, that is .757 right on the dot, vs Dallas Keuchel and Cole Hamels. We're asking, is he the right socket wrench for this bolt. IceX tightened us up a bit on an answer. Thanks to him.
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Here's an overhand lefty curve. Lee waits, waits, waits, and then takes his Ki up the right field line, truncating his followthrough. We'll take a dozen, sir.
Enjoy,
Jeff
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