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NELSON CRUZ

Said all that to say this, Dept  --- >  Boomstick is currently thumping along to the tune of 39.8 homers per season.  True, this is a recent development.  Two years ago, you wouldn't have signed off on 39.8.  But then again, the facts is the facts, and this is a hitter who is visibily gaining steam as he puffs along.

Time left?  age until 42, cut in half ... he'll be 35, so ... read it and weep, Arte and Sosh.  The midrange historical projection is for Boomstick to mash 139.8 homers before an Angels sign-stealer snipes him from the top deck.  Bear in mind, this could be 37 homers, then 32, then 27, then 19, 12, 7, 5 ... well, no, not really.  But it puts into perspective that it's not likely to be 19, next year.

You peg Nelson Cruz' remaining Tater Time at 3.5 times 40 homers, you could call that a word of encouragment, I think.  ...and, The Favorite Toy gives Nellie a 44% chance to hit 400 homers career, from his current total of 241.

RBI?  He's at 95.2 per year, has 690 in the savings account, so figures a 57% chance to collect 1,000 for his career.  That's where Darryl Strawberry is, 1,000 exactly.

....

ROBINSON CANO

Robby is averaging 183.5 hits per season, and ... using historical archetypes as the standard here ... has 4.5 seasons left, give or take.  That's 826 hits, totalling 2841.  For practical purposes, a 38% chance of joining the 3,000 hit club.

The Fave Toy pegs him at 17.3 homers per year ... 50/50 chance to get to 317, eclipsing Jay Buhner.  ...by the way, his chance to get to 400 homers and 3500 hits?  -2% on the homers :- ) and 6% on the 3,500 hits.  In other words, he'd have to surge over the next couple of years.  Which he could.

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KYLE SEAGER

Hawt Korner is ripping along at 162 hits and exactly 25 HR per year.  Not too shabby.

Lemme check my data; he seems to be a good distance from age 42, also ... yep, we get to multiply by 7 here.  So even though he's only got 685 hits so far, we still get to ooo'h and aaa'h over his 36% chance to score 2,000 hits.  For a kid that young, that is wayyyyy up there.  And, he has a 36% shot at 300 homers, like Buhner has.

.....

In other words, these three players can change the scoreboard, and they ain't as close to the end as out-of-towners might think.

Cruz:  400 HR, 1,000 RBI man, figures 2-3 good years left

Cano:  300 HR, 3,000 hits, figures 5 good years left

Seager:  250-300 HR, 2,000 hits at 3B, who knows how many good years left

.....

DiPoto has settled on these players as his core over the next several years.  The Toy don' say him nay.

BABVA,

Dr D