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I realize this argument relies on somewhat of a circular logic and unknowable information but...still. If J.A. Happ, a solid BOR starter with some upside is such a horrifically terrible return for Saunders, you'd think another GM out there would have been lighting up Jack's phone to offer him something better.
If he can't stay reliably healthy, Saunders is not a starter and not even a great backup OF really. He is more like a guaranteed random black hole whenever he gets hurt and [insert Mariner AAA scrub] has to fill in and tank a lineup spot for weeks/months. Not a player to rely on when making a push for a ring in 2015. I do trust the M's know more about his health outlook than anyone else, and I have to believe that if they really thought he could stay on the field, they'd have found a way to make the politics right and keep him.
Overall I am on board w/ the good Doctor's review of the situation. As usual. And ultimately we can't assess this trade until the next OF puzzle pieces come together. As Taro commented. Personally I think Jack has a couple nice cards still up his sleeve, this offseason has a good vibe for me. We'll see.