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As to how tough, to make the WC playoff, without setting up Felix to pitch that. On an extra days rest - be in Johnny All-Starr bullpen setupe, aferaas 2 - pr 3-game lead, an Iakmuma start or waterever.  Hisashi Iwakuma beats playoff teams, also.
Then you get the One Big Day when only Felix is on tv that day.  The efforts to mimize this are misguided..  They make it sound like a Felix Game would be trivial, when in fact it could well be part of baseball history.  And a pole-valut into an epic 1995-style history.
Somhere we need a blend between disapassonate analysis, and the joy that baseball brings.  Like Tarrasch said, "chess, like music, like love, like baseball, has the power to make men happy."
Dr D recommends enjoying the race for the #5 WC spot.  This summer.  That's just his $0.02, of course.