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Minor league numbers below the pipes:
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WHIP --H/9-- HR/9--BB/9--K/9
Johnson 1.499/7.0/.5/6.5/9.5 (Includes some rehab work after becoming a ML regular I didn't tease out)
Paxton 1.382/8.4/.5/4.0/9.6
I would say the BABIP in September 2013 was lucky and there will be regression - if I hadn't seen it with my own eyes. But it was more a matter of lots and lots of ground balls induced because K-Pax had a crazy good heavy ball.
But to my less than fully trained eye, the comparisons between the two are eerily similar, down to their eye popping September callups at the age of 24.
Spec, you have more stats at your fingertips and so talk a different language, stats wise. So I learn something. You talk K%, I talk K/9. You talk P/PA, I talk BB/9. Seems to me It's not apples to oranges, but Delicious to Fujis. At any rate, Bedard, RJ, Guidry, or some cross between Billy Swift and Sam McDowell, I'm gonna like whoever Paxton becomes.
And I've learned to trust your judgement in working the numbers the way you do, so I'm seriously curious as to what I'm missing.

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