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... it is not certain that he IS helpful at 1 year, $14M.  Especially it's not certain that there won't appear other opportunities that are superior.
At SSI, we have respect for the complexity of the problem.  Usually that involves our pointing out factors ignored by the simplistic $/WAR dogma.   We've done so on Morales.  
But would he turn out to be a good sign at 1 year/$14M?  There's a good chance he wouldn't.
............
Most real-world solutions ... the decision to move forward with the iPhone, the right move in a grandmaster chess game, the decision to get married ... require human intuition.  The Morales decision will require human intuition.  Mine is 60-40, maybe 70-30, that it would be a good move for 2014.  Zduriencik's may be different.