Coming into 2012 both Shandler and Dr. D saw these two players as berrry, berrrrry similar hitters.... Trumbo had a 25:120 EYE in 2011, but it was not based on an inability to tell a ball from a strike. Trumbo was going to be age 26 with experience, had a very similar PX, is a similar athlete, stiff mechanical runner, etc etc. Right down to the golf-style lower-back issues due to the over-torqued swings.
Trumbo stayed healthy, Carp didn't...
Trumbo this year 32 jacks, 95 RBI, a healthy .268 AVG and about a .500 SLG ... all while running a laughable EYE of 36:153 and Dr. D does not expect this leading indicator to cause any regression in Trumbo's specific case...
Give Mike Carp 550 AB's and you can plan on the same 32 HR, 95 RBI ... Trumbo's a bit bigger and stronger but then again, Carp has the platoon advantage. ... of course, make them a targeted 400-450 AB's and you might get a 135 OPS+ rather than Trumbo's 126...
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