I would definitely lean towards your paradigm. Easy to think of 1,000 things that could put noise into a K rate, such as the M's young, anxious hitters pressing at home and performing worse because of confidence situations. Are you going to say that Safeco intrinsically boosts K's by 10% if it is an INTIMIDATING place to hit? Huh.
Does anybody predict that Safeco will, in the future, boost K's by consistent amounts across various roster constructions?
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BTW, I'd be pretty amazed if the atmosphere boosted the break on a curve by an inch relative to neutral parks; there are a lot of parks close to water, but of course I'd be open to it...
Matt, if atmosphere increased break on a curve, through increased friction, wouldn't it also slow down a fastball?
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Am open to the debate, but park-adjusting for K's strikes me as losing the proverbial sense of proportion. Sounds clever in math class. Sounds cheesy from field level.
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