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Though am not sure about "very unlucky" amigo...
Their RC/27 is 5.0, based on .268/.329/.440.
They have given up 4.5 runs per game, based on .254/.321/.408 and poor defense leading to many unearned runs.
From an OPS/RC27 standpoint they should be +43 runs differential; they're actually +31. That's not a "very unlucky" first half camoflaging a powerhouse; it's an 85-88 win team loping along a game or two lower than it could be.
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I am beginning to understand the difference in our thinking, though. I'm not as impressed with the Rangers as you are.
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What is the 10th-percentile W/L record for Texas in the second half? In the 90% worst-case scenario, do they play at .500 from here, five games under .500, or what?