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Taro's picture

Lopez's adjusted '09 line:
.274/.305/.426
Wow, I'm actually suprised at how low that is. I thought Lopez would gain more hits, but his FB BABIP was actually higher this season, it was all GB BABIP that was unlucky (and that was good for 9 singles and 1 2B which he lost with the FB BABIP). His LD BABIP was slightly lower but only good for a little over 1 single. Overall he gained 9 singles and lost 8 HRs.
It turns out Lopez's '09 BABIP probably wasn't all that unlucky. Kind of a suprising outcome. His '09 Hr/FB% is going to HAVE to maintain to some degree in '10 and beyond, and IMO thats asking for a lot. This re-inforces my opinion that we need to sell high here if a Danks-esque return is possible. Lopez's '09 season was COMPLETELY driven by a high HR total that is unlikely to continue with half of his games in Safeco.

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