Hardy would need to hit about .270/.330/.400 if you are banking a defensive bonus of +10 runs. In that event, he'd be +2 WAR and comparable to Lopez past tense.
Last year, he actually hit was was it, 250/300/350 or something and was nosediving with a bullet.
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You could very well be right, champ, seriously. Maybe Hardy will hit a halfway respectable 85 OPS+ and because of his glove, be an average player.
But not a single GM believed that enough to offer Milw anything more than a bench player like Gomez, and there are serious needs for SS's out there. A +2 WAR SS making $5M would get nice offers -- as cyber-Seattle expected that Milwaukee would get.
Jose Lopez is going to bring back a little more than a 4th OF, right?
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If Hardy continues to struggle at the 250/300/350 level, or even worse in the AL, he's going to be out of a job period.
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The fact that you like Hardy's chances to rebound to +2 WAR is worthy of respect. I have serious doubts about that, even more serious doubts that he could do it in Safeco, and FWIW *every* GM agrees with me. :- ) Jack Zduriencik evidently does, as well.
The truth will be seen in Hardy's actual performances.
- Jeff aka jemanji aka Dr. Detecto
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