The evidence is definitely coming in on your side as to the BB%, G-Money. For those who just joined us, Marte came up from the minors, sat down next to his countrymen Cano and Cruz, and magically started drawing lots of walks. G predicted a mirage. That's what's happened thus far.
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As to gap power, it looks to me like he's flashed 35-, 40-double ability at several different times. He is way too young to even be in the big leagues, so the Shandlerian view would be that --- > an early flashed ability should jell as the player's pitch recog jells. All things considered, that's what it looks like to me.
But, hey. He's at a 100 OPS+ in his first (shy) season and if he peaks at 110, with speed, that's a table-setter well worth yer time. And the question here is whether 100-110 is the ceiling or the floor ...
Not sure if G was in the house when we comp'ed Marte to his HOF icons at the same age. Gwynn, Rose, Ichiro, Carew, etc., were not doing more than Marte at age 22. Here is the halfway tongue-in-cheek stats comparison.
Again, Marte's ability to let the ball travel deep, to read it carefully, and then snap the bat through on either curve or fastball, is the factor that Dr. D sees as trumping the other factors. A 30% chance of real upside -- 200 hits a year -- would be pretty sweet.