MLBT-R projects Fowler to sign in the 4yr/$64M neighborhood.
So what is the value of a great glove COF who leads-off or bats second behind Segura? For his career, Fowler has a .367 OBP batting lead-off.
Oh...one who has run oWAR of 3.8-2.4-3.7-3.5-4.1 over the past 5 years. Clockwork, man.
Then* I'm offering Martin + a young arm to St. Louis for Lance Lynn, fresh off TJ surgery.
Do all that, and I'm loaded for bear. BTW, Martins "2nd Half slump" last season was no such thing. He hit for a higher average in the 2nd half (.251 vs. .243) and his BABIP was higher (.320-.305). The only difference was that his 11 homers (unsustainable) and just 6 doubles in the first half turned into a normal 4 HR's and 11 doubles in the 2nd half. The result was a perfectly clockwork 90-ish OPS+ guy in Martin.
Even if Haniger (likely) or Gamel didn't work out in CF you could just roll Fowler back into the middle.
I would rather have a near-.370 OBP guy (.393 last season) at the top of the order than Martin's glove in CF. What does Martin arb at this year? $9-$10M? Fowler is only a few pennies more.
If only St. Louie would cooperate!!
I'm done.
* I'm pretty confident that O'Neill gets RF soon enough this season. That mostly doesn't change my Fowler-lust, at all.