I'm not sure it will. The Archers/Odorizzis will be valuable next July, as well. I'm not sure teams will discount now, which is why I wanted us to buy one pretty early....before the price had been set.
If you're trading now, and not buying a one year guy, then Quintana for a boatload makes as much sense.
But I think there are some bargains to be had: I'm beginning to think about Travis Wood: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/woodtr01.shtml
He was a 30 start guy in '12, '13 and '14 ..and decently good (well, he was down in '14). He was a swing man (just 9 starts) two years ago, and decently good. He was a high-use BP guy last season (77 appearances) and decently good. Only once in the past 5 seasons has he run a WHIP above 1.24.
He's decently good....and reports are that he wants to be given a shot at starting again. Is he any better than the field bet on Moore/Povse/Whalen/Hester (especially Moore and Povse)? Likely not. But that is likely true with an -non-elite FA starter we pick up.
He's going to sign for a bargain, I think. He's not a 1-3, but he's versatile. I could live with him, and we keep all our assets. He's not a splashy signing, however. I think we will try to splash, if we're buying, anyway.