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If you have a league with three sharks, two guppies, and ten stingrays, the guppies should eventually fall out and die (expect MIN/KC/OAK to do much worse than their projections), the sharks would have their performance capped and appear less impressive (too many stingrays), and most of the stingrays would hover near .500.  The random spray around .500 comes with error bars (in baseball's 162 game season) of +/- 4 wins. Ergo...one or two of those ten teams would win 86-89 games, one or two would fall down to 73-76 wins, and the vast majority would gather in the middle. So...88 is an almost surefire WC entry and 85 is possible but less likely.

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